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Iraq Prognostication, Five Years Later


Published March 18, 2008 at 1:23 p.m.

In November 2002, The Chronicle of Higher Education asked nine scholars, "What will the world be like five years after a war with Iraq?"

The responses, which you can find here, range from the conventional — "But imagine that these people look to Iraq and see the Iraqi people enjoying the fruits of freedom. From Iraq to Syria and throughout the region, the question will be asked: "Why not me?" — by the chronically wrong Danielle Pletka of the American Enterprise Institute, to the eerily prescient — "A military attack by the United States and installation of a new government in Iraq will not have fostered democratization in the Arab world but rather reinforced the perception of many . . . that the United States had moved from its initially stated and focused intention of capturing Osama bin Laden and Al Qaeda to a war against Islam and the Muslim world — by John L. Esposito, professor of religion and international affairs at Georgetown University.

Meanwhile, Slate is marking the fifth anniversary of the start of the war by asking five "liberal hawks" about their original support for the invasion.